
Today, March 20, 2025, no introduction. Let's review the Fed meeting.
The rate remained unchanged, but the Fed managed to prevent the markets from a sharp decline by maintaining expectations of two rate cuts in 2025. Same as in December.
Now, brief key points from the meeting:
- The Fed decided to slow down the pace of balance sheet reduction
- Inflation remains elevated
- The economy is strong
- The labor market remains stable
- Short-term inflation expectations have slightly increased due to tariffs
- No rush to cut rates
- If the labor market weakens, we may ease monetary policy
- If the economy remains strong, we can maintain policy restraint for longer
- The baseline scenario is that the inflation rise will be temporary
- Long-term inflation expectations remain stable
- Focused on labor market dynamics and full employment goals
- Higher trade tariffs will delay reaching the inflation target
- Recession probability remains low
- Tariffs usually increase inflation
- Powell out.
Other major news today:
- Hollywood director Carl Erik Rinsch has been arrested for allegedly stealing $11 million received from Netflix for a series—he spent it on crypto trading instead.
- Spectral has introduced Omen — the first hedge fund trading on Polymarket.
- Ethereum DEX volumes fell 34% in a week, yet ETH still dominates in stablecoin volume. You get the idea.
- ATOM Interchain Foundation (Cosmos) has funded the development of Cosmos EVM. Hopefully, it’s an Ethereum L2—because that would be funnier.
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